" /> Feature: Political Crisis in Afghanistan May Lead to Civil War - Sahar News
Home / Op/Ed / Feature: Political Crisis in Afghanistan May Lead to Civil War
Feature, Current Political Impasse May Lead to Civil War

Feature: Political Crisis in Afghanistan May Lead to Civil War

Since the fall of the Taliban regime, every election held in Afghanistan has not been free of challenges and frauds, and each time there has been controversy that has been resolved with the mediation of foreigners, especially the US. The new year also brought Afghanistan into a new phase of crisis, despite efforts by domestic and foreign mediators to find a solution.
In the latest effort, US Secretary of State Mike Pompey came to Kabul to ensure a mediation between Ashraf Ghani and Abdullah Abdullah. However, his mediation effort did not produce any result, and US was forced to announce a reduction of $1 billion of support to Afghanistan.
The election crisis began on the day when Ashraf Ghani was declared victorious by Election Commission and Abdullah Abdullah rejected the election results because of allegations of fraud, declared himself the winner of the election and announced the formation of an inclusive government. Both held separate and simultaneous inauguration ceremonies in Kabul. The inauguration of two presidents at one time is, in fact, an unprecedented tradition in Afghan political history stemming from electoral fraud.
The new system, laid down in the shadow of democracy by Ashraf Ghani and Abdullah during two separate ceremonies, has spread the breadth of confusion and anarchy in the country. The key question now is what the consequences will be if this situation persists, and what consequences the country will face. Below are some of the possible adverse consequences of the current crisis in Afghanistan;
1. Civil War: One of the outcomes of the division between Ghani and Abdullah is a civil war. The current situation seems to be moving towards chaos, as it has three rulers: the first is Ashraf Ghani, the second is the Taliban and the third is Abdullah. Given their contradictions, these three governments are unlikely to come together in a single administration. Clearly, Afghanistan is facing a civil war.
2. Disintegration of Afghanistan: After announcement of the preliminary results of the Afghan presidential election a map was published on social media that divided the country into two parts – 18 northern and central provinces forming a single unit and eastern and southern provinces forming another unit. The image mentioned that a large number of people are discussing disintegration of of Afghanistan into these two parts ruled by Abdullah and Ghani seperately if the results were not announced in accordance with the desire of all the candidates.
Definitely, both the scenarios mentioned above are bothersome. Civil war will push the poor people of the country towards further suffering and poverty for at least a decade, while the same is expected from any sort of disintegration, as the disintegration will invite further chaos and instability.
Therefore, it is imperative to understand that Afghanistan has already suffered myriads of problems in the last eighteen years and what they are seeing today can be an alarm for the disintegration of Afghanistan. The political leaders, particuarly, Ashraf Ghani needs to realize that his thirst for power and authority will only lead the country towards instability. The recent series of events, starting from dominating the election commissions to the persistance to carry out his inaugration, Ghani has shown that he only wants to continue his tenure. However, such undue persistence is not going to provide him any opportunity to continue his rule as Afghanistan will not stand as a political unit to ensure that.
(Sahar News)

Check Also

The prospects of political agreement between Ghani and Abdullah

Feature: The Prospects of a Political Agreement Between Ghani and Abdullah

The transition of political power in Afghanistan has always been accompanied by violence or crisis. …

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *